The continent has a history of employing mercenaries. If countries choose to recruit them, these new mercenaries will cause widespread instability, weakening governments and likely increasing the number and scale of insurgencies across the continent.Īfrica, particularly the Sahel region, is acutely vulnerable to mercenary interventions because of a lack of trust in government alongside a number of local and regional insurgencies. The consequences of this will fall heavily on African countries, which have already begun to employ mercenaries at a rate not seen since the Cold War. The Wagner Group and other private military companies from South Africa, France, and the United Kingdom offer these former soldiers an option to support their families and escape their circumstances. These soldiers will find limited job prospects in Ukraine or Russia, as both armies cut down on active-duty troops. At this point, thousands of former soldiers with combat experience will hit the open market. But eventually one side will win, or the fighting will morph into a low-intensity conflict. As the current conflict grinds toward its grim one-year anniversary, experts disagree on what might happen next. ![]() At some point the war in Ukraine will end, and when it does, the resulting influx of mercenaries will send shockwaves through Africa.
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